Montreal City Weblog

Kate 20:21 on 2022-07-24 Permalink Reply  

• H. John 10:59 on 2022-07-25 Permalink

  Dr. Tara Moriarty is the director the Moriarty Lab, an infectious diseases research laboratory at the U pf T.

  She and her grad students, on their own time, have been maintaining “Covid-19 Data Discussions” (a web site which is updated weekly).

  https://covid19resources.ca/data-discussions/

  According to their current estimates, on July 22nd Quebec had 17,700 new daily infections. Ontario had 29,298.

  Based on data from France and the UK, she projects this wave should peak in a few more weeks.

• Kate 11:05 on 2022-07-25 Permalink

  Just in time for school to start, H. John?

  We can only hope that enough kids get the vaccine over the next few weeks.

• H. John 12:14 on 2022-07-25 Permalink

  Kate, she is also concerned that this could be a major flu season since masking during covid helped to keep our numbers low for a few years. Australia, which is currently into their flu season, has seen numbers explode.

  As to the projected peak for this wave, she tweeted:

  New daily hospitalizations in France, which has a similar age structure and vax rates as Canada, have finally peaked.

  Trough to peak was about 6 weeks in France and the UK. Canada is about 2 weeks behind France.

  My guess is that Canada new daily hosp will peak in about 2 wks.

  https://twitter.com/MoriartyLab/status/1550185260410966017?s=20&t=5hPEbZEIb8G5qNs0Cbct8Q

  and,

  Total hospitalizations take longer to decline. France hasn’t peaked yet, although UK (~4 wks ahead of Canada) may be peaking now.

  I’d guess that Canada’s total hospitalizations will peak toward 3rd wk/end of August, and that by early Oct will be at lowest for this wave.

  https://twitter.com/MoriartyLab/status/1550186542123175936?s=20&t=5hPEbZEIb8G5qNs0Cbct8Q

  I found two of her other tweets really interesting:

  July 22 estimated % of population infected since Dec 2/21

  All ages: 51%
  People 40 and younger: 59%
  People older than 40: 39%

  https://twitter.com/MoriartyLab/status/1550908671986700290?s=20&t=5hPEbZEIb8G5qNs0Cbct8Q

  and, finally:

  Very useful survey from Angus Reid

  2 (of many) points:

  1) 75% of Canadians know masks help prevent infection

  2) 47% of people express frustration at not having sufficient COVID data from provinces to make personal decisions about COVID

  https://twitter.com/MoriartyLab/status/1551024399016402947?s=20&t=5hPEbZEIb8G5qNs0Cbct8Q

• Kate 14:19 on 2022-07-25 Permalink

  Well, there we are.

  Thanks, H. John.