Federal results – no big surprises in town
Been listening to the election returns, and of the Montreal ridings with unpredictable outcomes:
La Pointe-de-l’Île – Mario Beaulieu, Bloc, re-elected. Big resurgence of the Bloc all over Quebec but this is the only Bloc riding in Montreal: odds are there’s a big overlap between CAQ and Bloc voters.
Hochelaga – Soraya Martinez Ferrada, Liberal. The NDP had been strong here and some predicted a Bloc win.
Outremont – Liberal Rachel Bendayan, first elected in a byelection after Thomas Mulcair stepped down, is back.
Rosemont-La-Petite-Patrie – Alexandre Boulerice is the last NDPer left standing in the province.
Laurier Ste-Marie – Liberal Steven Guilbeault has soundly defeated Nimâ Machouf.
Some of the west-end Liberal wins were well above 50%, and it looks like Laval is all Liberal right now, although the two islands are swimming in a sea of Bloc blue.
Oh, and Maxime Bernier didn’t even come close to winning his seat.
ant6n 23:56 on 2019-10-21 Permalink
Montreal is all red, except 2 ridings. I bet Trudeau feels pretty smart for braking his electoral reform promise (which he did or course in the “interest of Canada & all Canadians”) & then running an anti-Conservative scare-campaign against actual progressives. (And I hope those who strategically voted for the Liberals are feeling dumb right now for falling for the tactic yet again.)
david100 01:09 on 2019-10-22 Permalink
Yeah, pretty comical that you have a bunch of PLC people convincing NDP sympathizers to vote for the PLC candidate out of fear of the CPC, taking down great NDP incumbents across the province. So, a Ruth-Ellen Brosseau is thrown out of office in favor of the generic BQ candidate, or the Liberal is elected on the Plateau – because NDP supporters strategically voted PLC. Wonderful plan. The PLC got what they wanted but damn is that cynical.
Kate 07:40 on 2019-10-22 Permalink
Still happy it’s a Liberal minority, not a Conservative one. Sorry to lose good NDP folks but, as Ruth Ellen Brosseau just said on CBC, that’s politics.
Also, the minority means Trudeau will have to court the NDP, which means they will have something to say about outcomes.
Ephraim 13:52 on 2019-10-22 Permalink
Laurier Ste-Marie didn’t have an incumbent. The NDP previous member retired. Nima Machouf was new.
Kate 14:03 on 2019-10-22 Permalink
The NDP’s Hélène Laverdière won that riding in 2011 and hung onto it in 2015 but chose not to run again. Did someone imply this was not so?
Ephraim 16:18 on 2019-10-22 Permalink
@Kate – You said defeated, which to some might imply that she was incumbent…. because otherwise he defeated everyone, not just her.
It’s a very interesting riding. The riding has one of the lowest median incomes of all the ridings in Canada. At just $45.2K median household income. (Below that is Hamilton then Papineau and finally Bourassa riding.) But the fact that the riding went resoundingly Liberal, when it used to be Bloc and then NDP is interesting. I wonder how much Steven Guilbeault and Equiterre resounded with the people in the riding and if it related to environmentalism in the Plateau.
Dan_Mtl 16:27 on 2019-10-22 Permalink
It also seemed to be a riding with an outcome that was difficult to predict: Calculated Politics had it leaning Bloc on election day, and 338Canada thought NDP would trail behind the Bloc, but they ended up in 2nd place. It was a fun riding to live in, observe and vote in this year.
Bill Binns 15:15 on 2019-10-23 Permalink
Laurier Ste-Marie has an abnormally low average income because it includes and abnormally large number of social housing units. The huge complex of social housing along Maisonneuve between St Denis and St Laurent is in the riding plus dozens of small to medium sized buildings sprinkled throughout the neighborhood. This average includes a huge number of zeroes.
We have the same problem with our provincial riding which would have been corrected a few years ago if not for the interference of QS.
Kate 08:18 on 2019-10-24 Permalink
Bill Binns, are you honestly calling people “zeroes”?
Also, if you think QS can influence the work of Elections Quebec, you’re straying into worlds of paranoia. It’s a non-partisan body and is universally respected for its even-handed administration.